f each state is given full autonomy in how to solve its internal problems (taxes, social policies etc.), the US will have data from 50 different experiments (or even more if internal autonomy is given on lower levels).
I dont thinkl your distinction between the Experimental and the Natural answers. It isnt in the interests of most people to be involved i a deliberate experiment that results in bankrupty, or tyranny...but then it wouldn't be in their interests to be involved in any natural drift that results in the same ends. People who don't want to end up in the New Confedaracy, or the Socialist Republic of the Pacific, wouldnt vote for increased independence.
Historically, the evolution of government systems was mainly driven by violence, with invasions and revolutions being the principal agents of selection process. The rules of the game were predetermined by our environment - land was a limited resource, for which our ancestors had to compete, if only to ensure the survival of their descendants.
The 20th century introduced a game changer. As agricultural productivity in developed countries rose by orders of magnitude and natural population growth practically came to a halt, possessing a large territory stopped being a necessity. Countries with little arable land, ultra-high population density and no natural resources can now not only feed their population, but also achieve top living standards. These changes may open a fundamentally different route for societal evolution – one that would not be based on violence or compulsion.
A small thought experiment - imagine what would happen if central governments cede most powers to smaller territorial units:
Unfortunately, there are serious obstacles to the successful implementation of this idea:
Do you think these problems are solvable?