I would be surprised if any of these predictions come true. There have already been huge advances in machine vision and they are starting to beat humans at many tasks. Obviously it takes time for new technology to reach the market, but 10 years is plenty. Right now there are a number of startups working on it, and the big tech companies have hired all the researchers.
huge advances in machine vision and they are starting to beat humans at many tasks
The idea that computers are better than humans at any kind of everyday vision task is just not true. Papers that report "better than human" performance typically just mean that their algorithms do better than cross-annotator agreement. The field should actually regard the fact that people can write papers reporting such things as more of an embarrassment than a success, since they are really illustrating a (profound) failure of the evaluation paradigm, not deep conceptual or technical achievements.
Instead of prognosticating on AGI/Strong AI/Singularities, I'd like to discuss more concrete advancements to expect in the near-term in AI. I invite those who have an interest in AI to discuss predictions or interesting trends they've observed.
This discussion should be useful for anyone looking to research or work in companies involved in AI, and might guide longer-term predictions.
With that, here are my predictions for the next 5-10 years in AI. This is mostly straightforward extrapolation, so it won't excite those who know about these areas but may interest those who don't: