Punoxysm comments on Discussion of concrete near-to-middle term trends in AI - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Punoxysm 08 February 2015 10:05PM

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Comment author: Punoxysm 09 February 2015 07:32:49PM 4 points [-]

That's too strong. For instance, multi-person and high-noise environments will still have room for improvement. Unpopular languages will lag behind in development. I'd consider "solved' to mean that the speech-processing element of a Babelfish-like vocal translator would work seamlessly across many many languages and virtually all environments.

I'd say it will be just below the level of a trained stenographer with something like 80% probability, and "solved" (somewhat above that level in many different languages) with 30% probability.

With 98% probability it will be good enough that your phone won't make you repeat yourself 3 times for a simple damn request for directions.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 09 February 2015 09:38:55PM 2 points [-]

Clarified version here.