huge advances in machine vision and they are starting to beat humans at many tasks
The idea that computers are better than humans at any kind of everyday vision task is just not true. Papers that report "better than human" performance typically just mean that their algorithms do better than cross-annotator agreement. The field should actually regard the fact that people can write papers reporting such things as more of an embarrassment than a success, since they are really illustrating a (profound) failure of the evaluation paradigm, not deep conceptual or technical achievements.
You don't know what you are talking about. Last year's ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge, the top competitor got 6.66% classification error on guessing the correct classification in 5 guesses.
A human tried this challenge and estimated his performance at 5.1%, and that requires extensive time practicing and finding reference images.
Just recently a paper came out reporting 4.94% error. And for the last few years, the best competitor has consistently halved the best error from the year before. So by the time this year's competition comes out i...
Instead of prognosticating on AGI/Strong AI/Singularities, I'd like to discuss more concrete advancements to expect in the near-term in AI. I invite those who have an interest in AI to discuss predictions or interesting trends they've observed.
This discussion should be useful for anyone looking to research or work in companies involved in AI, and might guide longer-term predictions.
With that, here are my predictions for the next 5-10 years in AI. This is mostly straightforward extrapolation, so it won't excite those who know about these areas but may interest those who don't: