You are only actually disagreeing with Daniel in so far as
guessing the correct classification in 5 guesses
in the ILSVRC is actually
any kind of everyday vision task
which is far from clear to me.
Well the algorithms used are fairly general. If you can classify an image, you can detect the objects in them and where they are.
The tasks are high interrelated. In classification they search different parts of the images at different scales to try to find a match. And in localization they run a general classifier across the image and find where it detects objects.
In fact the classifier is now being used to actually describe images in natural language.
Instead of prognosticating on AGI/Strong AI/Singularities, I'd like to discuss more concrete advancements to expect in the near-term in AI. I invite those who have an interest in AI to discuss predictions or interesting trends they've observed.
This discussion should be useful for anyone looking to research or work in companies involved in AI, and might guide longer-term predictions.
With that, here are my predictions for the next 5-10 years in AI. This is mostly straightforward extrapolation, so it won't excite those who know about these areas but may interest those who don't: