UnclGhost comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapters 105-107 - Less Wrong
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As for the last possibility, he doesn't leave from the Quidditch game until around a quarter past 11, so that can't help him for another five hours or so.
True, but that doesn't mean it won't help him eventually, and he may be able to hold out for those five hours.
Or Draco might have ordered Crabbe and Goyle to come find him if he doesn't return, or set other backup plans in motion.