JoshuaZ comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapters 105-107 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: b_sen 17 February 2015 01:17AM

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Comment author: JoshuaZ 19 February 2015 02:01:32PM 4 points [-]

Those all sounds like reasonable estimates: too bad. I was hoping to possibly make a few quick bucks out of a conjunction fallacy bet. But given that it is you I shouldn't be surprised that the actual calibration level looks pretty sane.

Comment author: Viliam_Bur 20 February 2015 09:49:09AM 1 point [-]

I guess my time spent at the CFAR workshop wasn't completely wasted. :D

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