whales comments on Open thread, Feb. 23 - Mar. 1, 2015 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: MrMind 23 February 2015 08:01AM

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Comment author: whales 27 February 2015 05:34:13AM *  2 points [-]

You can predict how long tasks/projects will take you (stopwatch and/or calendar time). Even if calibration doesn't generalize, it's potentially useful on its own there. And while you can't quite mass-produce questions/predictions, it's not such a hassle to rack up a lot if you do them in batches. Malcolm Ocean wrote about doing this with a spreadsheet, and I threw together an Android todo-with-predictions app for a similar self experiment.