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gjm comments on Saving for the long term - Less Wrong
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Regarding the third career trajectory you mention, note that not wanting now to stop working now doesn't imply that when you get to, say, 50 or 60 you will still want to keep working for ever. You have only just got your first job. You are not in a strong position to make an inside-view judgement of whether you will ever want to stop working. It turns out that most people retire. Make of all that what you will.
Fair point. I've taken that into account and still stand by my predictions, but it's definitely something to be weary of.