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buybuydandavis comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 110 - Less Wrong
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I'm not quite sure it's the idiot ball, for two reasons.
1:
Even with the knowledge that Quirrel was possessed by Voldemort in canon, whether or not Quirrel was Voldemort was an active topic of debate among readers for quite some time.
2:
If Dumbledore is used to thinking of Voldemort as a cartoon villain, and expects his shade to also behave like a cartoon villain, I could see him missing Quirrell.
(There is, perhaps, also the third reason of motivated cognition brought on by McGonagall, but I always saw that as more plausible if it were magically brought on by Riddle than her really not caring who he was.)
There's also the possibility brought up earlier and echoed in a lot of the other threads: this may be a Dumbledore spawned by the mirror as part of reading Quirrell's mind and determining his CEV. That doesn't explain how real Dumbledore didn't see it, though.
Dumbledore may have seen it, and refused to let on. Quirrell is next to impossible to kill permanently. He says he can detach from a body if it is in danger, and if you kill the body, he detaches too.
The argument would go that Dumbledore was luring Quirrell into the Mirror as a final solution, and therefore pretended not to recognize him.
(Though wouldn't an easier play be a sneak attack by Dumbledore incapacitating Quirrel but not killing him? )