MathMage comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 110 - Less Wrong
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Comments (112)
I've assumed this for a long while. "Dumbledore does things for no real reason but accidentally gets important long-range decisions right all the time" never made any sense. There were some other possible but unlikely explanations for the rock, but you add in his meddling in Lily's life and other times when he seems to be walking down a known, pre-determined path and it's just too much.
Dumbles is wading knee-deep through prophecies, always has been.
There's also the alarm clock he gave Professor Trelawney--as I understand it, readers have assumed that it's spelled for surveillance. So there is at least one known mechanism by which Dumbledore would have extraordinary access to prophecy.