Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 112 - Less Wrong
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I don't think that's how Eliezer treats it. The reference to the centaur forecasting that giving Petunia the beauty portion will end the world, that's in the first chapter wasn't there at the start but was added later.
It was there on day 1.
Bad example, then, but you have changed things. (Not that there's anything wrong with that.)