Nornagest comments on Rationality Quotes Thread March 2015 - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Vaniver 02 March 2015 11:38PM

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Comment author: Nornagest 18 March 2015 04:47:25PM 0 points [-]

For that matter, there's a strictly positive chance that a meteor made of two tons of platinum will fall from the sky tomorrow and flatten my car in the driveway before I'm done brushing my teeth. The probability of almost anything you can think of is going to be positive, unless it's physically impossible -- and even there you have model uncertainty to take into account.

Comment author: Lumifer 18 March 2015 04:53:44PM 0 points [-]

Yes, of course, which is why talking about "strictly positive chances" in this context (of suddenly acquiring wealth) is kinda silly.