If you value the future, you can make a huge expected difference. Imagine that your contributing $100 to the MIRI increases by one in a trillion the probability that mankind will go on to colonize the universe, eventually creating more than a trillion times a trillion happy, meaningful lives. Your contribution, therefore, has an enormous positive expected impact. We are morally lucky to live in what appears to be the critical period for determining if mankind will spread or go extinct.
Agree. Every person living today looks extraordinarily impactful when you consider that 1000 years from now there will probably either be a million+ times as many humans or we’ll all be extinct.
I think the key issue for people like Athrelon’s friend is that there is a kind of “impact hedonic treadmill” that operates something like the regular hedonic treadmill in that you get used to seeing yourself as a person who is likely to have X level of impact, and if that level goes down, there will be a painful adjustment period kind of like if a wealthy first wo...
A blog post by Athrelon on More Right.