Gondolinian comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Gondolinian 10 March 2015 06:10PM

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Comment author: JoshuaZ 10 March 2015 06:35:37PM 7 points [-]

Hopefully the apparent time limit on the Philosopher's Stone isn't going to get worse over time. Harry also hasn't considered that it may only be good for some finite number of permanent transfigurations. He's going to try to use it many more times than it probably has been used in a very long time.

Comment author: Gondolinian 10 March 2015 06:57:12PM *  6 points [-]

Hopefully the apparent time limit on the Philosopher's Stone isn't going to get worse over time.

Good point. A time limit of 3:54 does seem too arbitrary to be hard-coded.

Harry also hasn't considered that it may only be good for some finite number of permanent transfigurations. He's going to try to use it many more times than it probably has been used in a very long time.

At least he only intends to use the Stone as a stop-gap measure for fighting death until he is able to properly end the world.

[edited]

Comment author: dxu 11 March 2015 03:50:17AM *  8 points [-]

A time limit of 3:54 does seem too arbitrary to be hard-coded.

3:54 is 234 seconds, which is exactly 1/400 of 26 hours, which happens to be Harry's extended sleep cycle. I have no idea if this is significant, but just throwing it out there.

Comment author: CellBioGuy 11 March 2015 06:16:20AM *  8 points [-]

It's also almost exactly 368 and 2/9 uses per siderial day, the actual period of rotation of the earth without reference to the sun.

It would've been exactly that figure about 5,300 years ago.

Comment author: William_Quixote 11 March 2015 03:41:53PM 9 points [-]

Based on that timing the stone was Gilgamesh's pearl

Comment author: gwern 11 March 2015 04:00:06PM 11 points [-]

And guess who steals Gilgamesh's How-the-Old-Man-Once-Again-Becomes-A-Young-Man plant? That's right, a snake.

Comment author: CellBioGuy 11 March 2015 04:08:00PM 4 points [-]

Ain't numerology grand?

Comment author: polymathwannabe 11 March 2015 04:02:14AM 0 points [-]

So the Stone was created to be used no more than 400 times a day. This allows for the prediction that someone with a normal cycle should be able to use it every 1/400 of our normal days, or 216 seconds.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 11 March 2015 05:43:33AM 1 point [-]

The limit might be the result of limited capacity rather than design.

Comment author: Gabriel 10 March 2015 07:13:30PM *  5 points [-]

Well, in seconds it's 234, which looks slightly less arbitrary.

Waait. Did whoever made it even use our time units?

Comment author: Gondolinian 10 March 2015 07:21:20PM 2 points [-]

Did whoever made it even use our time units?

Fair point; I didn't think of that. Does anyone know of a unit of time in which the equivalent of 3:54 would be a Schelling point of some sort?

Comment author: Unknowns 10 March 2015 07:23:35PM 14 points [-]

Time Turners use units of one hour, so at least some kinds of magical items use our units.

Comment author: jkaufman 11 March 2015 01:21:16PM 1 point [-]

Can you use the time turner in different increments, and possibly with a different maximum, if you fully understand hours are arbitrary? This sounds exactly like partial transfiguration.

(Alternatively, you go back some fixed amount of time for every grain of time sand in the turner, and you could build one of other increments by using a different quantity of sand.)

Comment author: garabik 11 March 2015 02:25:37PM *  3 points [-]

How does Time Turner select reference frame? What if you use it in the orbit, will you see Earth rotational angle jump by 90°? Assuming the reference frame is fixed to Earth surface, going sufficiently far away will give you FTL which can be used to create arbitrarily long time loops. Assuming it is not, what happens if you are moving at relativistic speeds (relative to Earth) and use the Time Turner?

EDIT: We not even need to consider relativity - what if you are flying on a broomstick (constant speed) or on a moving train and use Time Turner? This experiment is simple enough and can reveal a lot.

Comment author: Unknowns 11 March 2015 03:37:38PM 0 points [-]

DO NOT MESS WITH TIME. Obviously if you attempt to use it in the stated way something very bad will happen.

Comment author: polymathwannabe 11 March 2015 05:07:09AM *  0 points [-]

3'54" is almost 71 halakim.

Edited to add: which, according to Babylonian time (see the same article), is almost the amount of time it takes the Earth to rotate one degree.

Comment author: Illano 11 March 2015 03:28:13PM 6 points [-]

Using the time it takes Earth to rotate one degree gives you 86400 seconds in a day /360 degrees = 240 seconds. But the length of the day has been getting larger as the Earth slows at a rate of about 1.7 ms/century wiki

To find when one degree was equal to 234 seconds, we can find when a day was approximately 234*360 degrees = 84240 seconds, or approximately 127 million years ago. Putting the creation of the stone right in the middle of the Cretaceous Period.

Coincidentally, this also solves the issue of how the T Rex got away with such tiny arms. They had wands!

Comment author: JoshuaZ 10 March 2015 07:16:58PM 0 points [-]

Well, seconds have been used since the Babylonian time period. However, we also don't know how carefully Harry measured the recharge time.

Comment author: TobyBartels 10 March 2015 07:53:55PM 4 points [-]

Wikipedia disagrees: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second#Before_mechanical_clocks

There are a lot of older units of time listed there, but none of them seem to fit.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 10 March 2015 07:57:21PM 3 points [-]

Huh. That's fascinating. I had apparently wrongly assumed that because it had the same division into 60 that it also was as old. Apparently not.

Comment author: DanielLC 10 March 2015 07:24:09PM 3 points [-]

Carefully enough not to round it up to 3:55. Presumably, it's within a second.

Comment author: Izeinwinter 10 March 2015 07:40:06PM 9 points [-]

It occurs to me that this limit means Flame could, in theory, have been using the stone flat out for five hundred years without anyone catching on. 56 million people died this year. If the stone was used to save as many of them as possible, at random, then with only moderate use of magic for coverup purposes compared to shit we already know the magical world is pulling of, that is just going to be utterly undetectable. "Here have a second chance at life. Also a magical compulsion to keep your mouth shut".

Comment author: Subbak 10 March 2015 08:03:24PM 3 points [-]

So what would he have been doing? Saving victims of accident so that they end up being fine after a small hospital stay? Miraculously curing terminally ill people? I find it unlikely that he could do anything else with long-term benefits without anyone catching on. But yeah, I like that alternate character interpretation of Flamel.

Comment author: Astazha 10 March 2015 11:08:46PM 7 points [-]

Unexplained recoveries are a real thing. Everyone just shrugs and celebrates, or maybe credits God or the ginko biloba. It's been Flamel all along.

Comment author: Izeinwinter 11 March 2015 02:47:01AM 6 points [-]

Mostly, resurrecting dead children. The population used to be lower, but kids also used to have piss-poor odds of making it to adult-hood. In terms of QALY, this would have been the best use, and if a child goes missing from a sickbed only to wander into the kitchen feeling chipper and fine, noone would even think twice.

Comment author: asr 11 March 2015 02:11:30PM 3 points [-]

Good point. A time limit of 3:54 does seem too arbitrary to be hard-coded.

Hrm. Maybe it's exactly one Atlantean time unit? Unsafe to assume that the units we are used to are the same units that the Stone's maker would find natural.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 March 2015 07:40:31PM 3 points [-]

A time limit of 3:54 does seem too arbitrary to be hard-coded

X to 1 stellar day as 366.24 stellar days to 1 mean year.

X = 235 seconds, 3:55.

Almost.

Comment author: TobyBartels 10 March 2015 08:03:01PM *  0 points [-]

The more natural 365.24 is even worse.

We really want something like 370. That takes us back to the late Cretaceous, and I don't think that EY wants to push things that far back.

Comment author: polymathwannabe 10 March 2015 11:18:36PM *  -1 points [-]

Another close figure: The sidereal day is 3 minutes, 56 seconds shorter than the solar day. If the solar day has a negative leap second, the difference is 3'55".

Comment author: Coscott 11 March 2015 01:49:11AM 0 points [-]

I do not know what some terms mean, but I think that is not another close figure, that is the same figure.

Comment author: polymathwannabe 11 March 2015 03:45:48AM -1 points [-]

I mean, close to 3'54".

Comment author: Coscott 11 March 2015 04:21:21AM 0 points [-]

If the sidereal day and the solar day mean what I am guessing they mean, your 3:55 and Lumifer's 3:55 come from the same place.

Comment author: polymathwannabe 11 March 2015 05:02:31AM *  -1 points [-]

No, what he did was divide the sidereal day by 366,24 and got 235 seconds, so there would be as many Stone's periods in a day as there are days in a year.

Comment author: Coscott 11 March 2015 03:26:46PM 1 point [-]

Yes, and my claim is that that is what you did too without knowing it. Think about what sidereal and solar day mean, and how you would calculate one from the other.

Comment author: polymathwannabe 10 March 2015 08:43:46PM *  5 points [-]

I Googled 3:54 and found a Quran verse:

And the disbelievers planned, but Allah planned. And Allah is the best of planners.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 March 2015 08:56:54PM *  3 points [-]

I googled "234 seconds" and found out that, apparently, the Philospher's Stone needs to post everything to the totalwar.org forums and, moreover, already got warning points for that. Who knew? X-D

Comment author: polymathwannabe 11 March 2015 12:09:30AM *  4 points [-]

Very appropriately, Google gives 3'54" as the length of these songs:

Timeless by Reece Mastin

Touch the Rock by Gent Mason

Sweeter than Fiction by Taylor Swift

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 11 March 2015 12:58:08AM 2 points [-]

Also, 'Lore of the Ancients', 'Particle Brain', 'Limitless Skies', 'A Lesson from Teacher', and 'Sacratus Bellator' Overclocked Remixes

Comment author: ChristianKl 10 March 2015 10:39:29PM 0 points [-]

The stone was created at a time before the invention of minutes and seconds. The Atlantians likely didn't have 24 hours per day, 60 minutes per hour and 60 seconds per minute.