= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Davidmanheim comments on Twenty basic rules for intelligent money management - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (51)
If you're looking at long-term results, you don't really want the (arithmetic) mean of short-term results, you want the geometric mean (or, equivalently, the arithmetic mean of logarithmic short-term results). So the first of those portfolios is unambiguously better if what you care about is typical long-term performance.
Exactly.
If you look at the single period mean, it will not represent the portfolio return. That's why the expectation of an RV in a single period is insufficient information for looking at the return, and why we want to reduce volatility, and preserve expected.