gjm comments on Twenty basic rules for intelligent money management - Less Wrong

32 Post author: James_Miller 19 March 2015 05:57PM

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Comment author: gjm 25 March 2015 02:20:34AM 1 point [-]

You could alternatively think that hedge funds don't have enough trading volume to shift the prices so far that the heuristic stops working. Imagine a market composed of a thousand idiots, one hedge fund, and you, each participant having roughly equal resources. If all the idiots make some mistake, the hedge fund will get there before you and profit from it, but unless it's leveraged 1000:1 (which would be ... brave) there are likely still profits for you to take by exploiting the same mistake.

In reality there are a lot of hedge funds and some of them have an awful lot of money, but they're still no more than ~1% of the market.