Anders_H comments on Futarchy and Unfriendly AI - Less Wrong

9 Post author: jkaufman 03 April 2015 09:45PM

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Comment author: Anders_H 07 April 2015 05:35:32PM 1 point [-]

This relates to my previous post on confounding in Prediction Markets. In my analysis, if we allow human feedback between setting the values and implementing the strategy, you break the causal interpretation of the prediction market and therefore lose the ability to use it for optimization. This is obviously a trade-off between other considerations that may be more important, but you will run into big problems if the market participants expect there is a significant probability that humans will override the market