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PhilGoetz comments on Unteachable Excellence - Less Wrong
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I've sometimes thought that it might be more useful to read the life stories of obscure losers than of famous people.
It sounds wise, but I think it's false.
I agree. In theory it seems studying the case that deviates more from the average (in this case, great success) should yield more information. If most widgets are small and a few are big, and you want to know what properties of widgets correlate with size, and you can study only one widget, you should study a big widget.