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psychoman comments on 16 types of useful predictions - Less Wrong
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I m new here, it is very helpful wrote for who started to thinking. But thinking is very complex and has very improved versions. I wont comment about my further thouths before reading other articles. Maybe there are some improved ideas.
Welcome! There are loads of articles, so if it gets confusing, this is a decent place to start. https://intelligence.org/rationality-ai-zombies/