James_Miller comments on Open Thread, Apr. 13 - Apr. 19, 2015 - Less Wrong
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I wonder about this. It wouldn't surprise me if popularity at 15 strongly correlated with popularity throughout life.
Losing your virginity at a young age seems to predict increased sexual experience, but not in a good way. More akin to what you're referring to:
I'm not sure how they're distinguishing between short-term and long-term because I can't find an ungated copy. It also seems to be the case that our society discourages sex at an early age. I certainly don't envy the kids who were most sexually active in high school.