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LawrenceC comments on Why isn't the following decision theory optimal? - Less Wrong
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Actually, if you push the precommittment time all the way back, this sounds a lot like an informal version of Updateless Decision Theory, which, by the way, seems to get everything that TDT gets right, plus counterfactual mugging and a lot of experiments that TDT gets wrong.
Are you implying that UDT is formal?
Fair enough. A less formal version of UDT. UDT at least has a formulation in Godel-Lob provability logic.