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Elo comments on Open Thread, Apr. 20 - Apr. 26, 2015 - Less Wrong
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Variation on this:
An oracle comes up to you and tells you that you will give it a thousand dollars. This oracle has done this many times and every time it has told people this the people have given the oracle a thousand dollars. This oracle, like the other one, isn''t threatening you. It just goes around finding people who will give it money. Should you give the oracle money?
I believe in testing rules and breaking things. So no. Don't give and see what happens.