Capla comments on False Laughter - Less Wrong

25 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 22 December 2007 06:03AM

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Comment author: Z._M._Davis 22 December 2007 11:52:06PM 13 points [-]

"Requiring someone to laugh in order to prove their non-cultishness [...] doesn't quite work."

But if they don't laugh, and it's not sufficiently obvious that the joke is too obvious, doesn't the lack of laughter serve as (rather weak) Bayesian evidence of cultishness?

Which suggests—

Q: How many Overcoming Bias readers does it take to change a lightbulb? A: None; the RAND experiment showed that lightbulbs are worthless.

Q: How many Overcoming Bias readers does it take to change a lightbulb? A: Just one, but first they have to calculate (P(change|light)*P(light))/((P(change|light)*P(light) + P(change|no-light)*P(no-light)).

"How many Overcoming Bias readers does it take to change a lightbulb?" "I think four. What do you think?" "Um, I was going to say 'One,' and then the punchl—" "Okay, then 2.5?"

If you don't find the above funny, consider raising P(we're-a-cult).

Comment author: Capla 29 January 2015 07:31:23AM 1 point [-]

Sure, but also, P(those-jokes-weren't-funny) .