Mark_Friedenbach comments on Rationality Reading Group: Fake Beliefs (p43-77) - Less Wrong

9 [deleted] 07 May 2015 09:07AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 09 May 2015 04:25:27PM *  -1 points [-]

Honestly, kid, I don't see anything in this description which would count as evidence against the hypothesis that this is a simple example of confirmation bias.

There's a saying which describes people like you: "young and invincible." There has been no need to coin the corresponding "old and invincible" saying which you would expect to exist. Ponder that.

Comment author: [deleted] 11 May 2015 04:14:38AM 1 point [-]

Honestly, adult, I'm not admitting to actually believing in luck. Just saying that my actions make it seem like I do.

And of course there is no evidence against the confirmation bias hypothesis in my description... If normal unlucky stuff happened to me, and I could recognize it or other people could point it out to me, there would have been no description in the first place.