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UnrequitedHope comments on Thoughts on minimizing designer baby drama - Less Wrong
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Regardless of the law, would it be far-fetched to say that a certain percent of the population would be enhanced anyway?
In the beginning stages It's quite easy to write laws that make it a disadvantage to be genetically modified. Bruce Sterlings novel Distraction deals with the protagonist having a "personal background problem" because he's genetically modified in a world where that's outlawed. As a result he can't run for office and just do PR for a politician.
It's easy to write the laws, but it may be hard to enforce them.
It isn't easy to identify people who are just modified to be in the upper end of normal human capacities.
People normally have parents. It's easy to say when the genes of the parents don't correspond to the genes of a child.
Apart from that I think you underrate the ease of doing genetic engineering without leaving traces. Especially with a decade between the moment of birth and the moment that someone analyses the DNA for traces of manipulation.
Is there anything that would prevent that number from increasing?