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Mac comments on Thoughts on minimizing designer baby drama - Less Wrong
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You propose several ways to “minimize designer baby drama”, but you have ignored the potential costs of these interventions.
I see a few large costs of your proposals:
1) Reducing the potential intelligence of a number of future individuals
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2) Monetary cost and deadweight loss from taxes
3) Parent preference frustration
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Still, probably better than civil war.
Better than what probability of civil war?
Civil wars have been fought over class before, and I think different classes diverging into different species would massively raise the probability of this. I'm really not sure how to put a number to this, but I'd guess somewhere around 10% for the US, and around 90% for terrorism, but not tanks on the street.
The probability would be higher for less stable countries.
The main thing I'm optimizing for is minimizing existential risk. I acknowledge the costs you describe are significant.