fubarobfusco comments on Zen and the Art of Rationality - Less Wrong

27 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 24 December 2007 04:36AM

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Comment author: NancyLebovitz 12 February 2013 02:08:43AM 0 points [-]

Another angle: any method you use to get at the truth is only a method. If something better than Bayes is developed, then there's no obligation of loyalty to Bayes.

Comment author: fubarobfusco 12 February 2013 02:54:58AM 3 points [-]

If I understand the math correctly (this is always in doubt) — In order to be better than Bayes, it would have to be not equivalent to Bayes; and therefore to violate one of Cox's postulates.

That said, it's not hard to imagine an implementation of Bayes substantially better than explicit, conscious, language-based, numerical reasoning augmented with kludgy workarounds for discovered biases.