Jiro comments on Visions and Mirages: The Sunk Cost Dilemma - Less Wrong

-8 Post author: OrphanWilde 20 May 2015 08:56PM

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Comment author: Jiro 21 May 2015 03:35:23PM *  1 point [-]

You need to change your estimate to a value that will be accurate after they adjust the amount. For instance, if you would normally estimate 10 days, but you know that estimating X would lead to them increasing the workload by 1/3 X, you should estimate 15 days, since 15 days would lead them to increase the workload by 5 days, making the result actually be 15. This is the estimation equivalent of gross-up.