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RobbBB comments on Leaving LessWrong for a more rational life - Less Wrong
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Except that when the hypothesis space is large, people test hypotheses because they strongly updated in the direction of them being true, and seeing empirical data produces a later, weaker update. Where an example of 'strongly updating' could be going from 9,999,999:1 odds against a hypothesis to 99:1 odds, and an example of 'weakly updating' could be going from 99:1 odds against the hypothesis to 1:99. The former update requires about 20 bits of evidence, while the latter update requires about 10 bits of evidence.
Interesting point. I guess my intuitive notion of a "strong update" has to do with absolute probability mass allocation rather than bits of evidence (probability mass is what affects behavior?), but that's probably not a disagreement worth hashing out.