James_Miller comments on Rationality is about pattern recognition, not reasoning - Less Wrong

25 Post author: JonahSinick 26 May 2015 07:23PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (82)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Dr_Manhattan 27 May 2015 04:47:45PM 2 points [-]

Some contrary evidence about usefulness of explicit models: http://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-first-principles-2015-1

My take is that you need both, some things are understood better "from first principles" (engineering) others are more suitable for pattern matching (politics).

Comment author: JonahSinick 27 May 2015 06:41:39PM 1 point [-]

Yes, as I say in another comment, my sense had been that what works best is 50% intuition and 50% explicit reasoning, and now I think it's more like 95% vs 5%. If you're spending all of your time thinking, that still leaves roughly an hour a day for explicit reasoning, which is substantially more than usually.