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bentarm comments on Rationality Quotes Thread June 2015 - Less Wrong
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Now, hold that thought, and consider that the most likely explanation is that you are wrong.
If it took you an hour to come up with the truth that's likely. If you however needed thousands of hours of thinking to discover it, the case for you knowing something that other people don't know is much better.
Especially if you read various experts that connect to the topic and understand the state of the field, you can make a reasonable argument that you have something that qualifies.
Peter Thiel talks about this being a foundation for successful startups. When Mark Zuckerberg being social network he had the insight to the truth that "real identify is really important for a social network" that few other people believed.
I'd still bet that the majority of people who have a belief that meets all the criteria you suggest are probably wrong about that belief. For example, I think there's a reasonable case that most priests' religious beliefs would met your criteria, and it's clear that most priests are wrong (as long you you take priest to include holy men from all of the world's religions, it must be true).
I won't speak to the usefulness of the quote as a means for generating useful entrepreneurial ideas.
I think most priests believed that their God is right before the became priests. That's not an idea that took them a lot of time to discover.
meh, scratch that, I misremembered the quote as "most people disagree with you"...