ChaosMote comments on A Proposal for Defeating Moloch in the Prison Industrial Complex - Less Wrong

23 Post author: lululu 02 June 2015 10:03PM

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Comment author: ChaosMote 04 June 2015 04:34:28AM 1 point [-]

Your argument assumes that the algorithm and the prisons have access to the same data. This need not be the case - in particular, if a prison bribes a judge to over-convict, the algorithm will be (incorrectly) relying on said conviction as data, skewing the predicted recidivism measure.

That said, the perverse incentive you mentioned is absolutely in play as well.

Comment author: benkuhn 04 June 2015 07:07:57AM 0 points [-]

Yes, I glossed over the possibility of prisons bribing judges to screw up the data set. That's because the extremely small influence of marginal data points and the cost of bribing judges would make such a strategy incredibly expensive.