Doug_S. comments on To Lead, You Must Stand Up - Less Wrong
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Considering that everyone she knows will tell her that Santa Claus did indeed deliver those presents, that she can meet Santa Claus (or his representative) in person at a local mall, and that his travel is tracked in real time by the United States Department of Defense, I'd say your neighbor's daughter's belief is quite reasonable.
Your average 6-year-old is presented with far more evidence in favor of the Santa Claus hypothesis than the average adult is given in favor of the hypothesis that Jesus rose from the dead or that Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone...