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Deep Learning is the latest thing in AI. I predict that it will be exactly as successful at achieving AGI as all previous latest things. By which I mean that in 10 years it will be just another chapter in the latest edition of Russell and Norvig.
The outside view is not very good for predicting technology. Every technology has an eternity of not existing, until suddenly one day it exists out of the blue.
Now no one is saying that deep learning is going to be AGI in 10 years. In fact the deep learning experts have been extremely skeptical of AGI in all forms, and are certainly not promoting that view. But I think it's a very reasonable opinion that it will lead to AGI within the next few decades. And I believe sooner rather than later.
The reasons that 'this time it is different':
NNs are extraordina