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ChristianKl comments on The Unfriendly Superintelligence next door - Less Wrong
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If you want to bet there the VITAL study going on: http://www.vitalstudy.org/VitalSigns.html 25,000 subjects 2000 UI Vitamin D3 and upcoming mortality data.
I also created a prediction book entry a while ago: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14426