eli_sennesh comments on An overall schema for the friendly AI problems: self-referential convergence criteria - Less Wrong
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I think I'm not getting your point either. Isn't Stuart just assuming standard decision theory, where you choose actions by predicting their consequences and then evaluating your utility function over your predictions? Are you arguing that real AIs won't be making decisions like this?
Yes. I think that probabilistic backwards chaining, aka "planning as inference", is the more realistic way to plan, and better represented in the current literature.