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Lumifer comments on Welcome to Less Wrong! (8th thread, July 2015) - Less Wrong
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Hello everyone
I represent a small team whose goal is predicting the future based on artificial intelligence in the economic environment. Some time ago I was looking for a place where I could be useful with our arguments and this community is seems to be the best place for it.
I hope to be useful, to discuss if we missed out something, to test new ideas with a competent audience.
The essence of my questions will be: management system based on artificial intelligence; risk prediction using parsing systems; quantum models predict the likelihood; ideas of the frame prediction systems for various events.
Thank you for attention.
Do you mean financial markets?
I'm talking about the economy as a whole, it has a wider meaning and includes not only the financial market but as well as a variety of industry.
So what kind of metrics are you interested in forecasting? Macroeconomic ones (GDP, inflation, etc.)? Industry-specific things? Interest rates?
We use mathematical models. It does't matter that data use. The issue is that it will give. In any case, interest is the machine that predict the future, wider than those statistical model that people used in the financial markets. I will write an article about my thoughts. If karma will be great.
Your mathematical models are supposed to reflect real-life features of the data. All data is not the same and the same models are not appropriate for all data.