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ScottL comments on An overview of the mental model theory - Less Wrong
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Thanks for the advice. It was a mistake. I have updated it to: "Only one of the following premises is true about a particular hand of cards".
FWIW, I still got the question wrong with the new wording because I interpreted it as "One ... is true [and the other is unknown]" whereas the intended interpretation was "One ... is true [and the other is false]".
In one sense this is a communication failure, because people normally mean the first and not the second. On the other hand, the fact that people normally mean the first proves the point - we usually prefer not to reason based on false statements.