It seems that in the case of casino's unpredictability is an important part. If you make a conscious choice to reward yourself every 4th times you lose that element of unpredictability.
I would also expect that the optimal percentage is context dependent and the 25% don't generalize to every task and reward.
http://measureofdoubt.com/2011/04/12/pulling-levers-killing-monsters-the-lure-of-unpredictable-rewards/ (how do I put a link like this in a word with blue letters?)
I've read that unpredictable rewards associated with a behavior actually encourage that behavior more effectively than consistent rewards.
The optimal habit-forming figure given in the link above is a 25% chance of reward for each instance of performing the behavior.
My hypothesis then, is that if I want to establish a habit by rewarding myself upon successfully performing a certain task, I should reward myself only 25% of the time if I want to ingrain the habit as forcefully as possible into my unconscious.
Anyone else think so, or have any other research to add?