Luke_A_Somers comments on Rationality Quotes Thread September 2015 - Less Wrong
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Unless the other fellow isn't an idiot, so that "large, important, easy-to-find stupidity in the other fellow's professional territory" is correspondingly more likely to be imaginary.
On the other hand, the other fellow didn't get the advantage of hindsight!
That is a potentially valid reason, assuming you can point to what specifically the other fellow failed to foresee.