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RichardKennaway comments on Why Don't Rationalists Win? - Less Wrong
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How would you do (1) without making hypotheses and testing them, i.e. (2)?
Reading a book... debating with other smart people in a web forum... reading another book... trying to solve the problems in your map alone before you even touch the territory...
Seems to me this is what people often do when they try to do (1).