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Lumifer comments on Doomsday Argument Map - Less Wrong
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Comments (32)
Before accounting for agricultural conditions you probably should account for the distribution of land masses... But anyway, how is this a "DA-style calculation"?
DA-style here means that my position is some set is used to estimate total size of the set, assuming that I random observer from this set. DA-style is also means that we ignore other available information about me, Earth etc, but use only my position in the set to get very rough estimate of total size of the set. The study of such DA-style predictions in known domains could help us estimate validity of DA in unknown domains.
Isn't this approach better known as "generalising from one example"?
No, it is evidence, but very vague.