buybuydandavis comments on Monty Hall Sleeping Beauty - Less Wrong

1 Post author: PhilGoetz 18 September 2015 09:18PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (17)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 19 September 2015 01:40:24AM *  5 points [-]

I like Anthropic SB better.

SB has the following rules explained to her on Sunday.

You will be drugged to sleep now.
Then we will flip a coin.
On a heads, you will be shot in the head until dead.
On a tails, you will be woken up tomorrow and asked "What is the probability that the coin landed tails?"

Who still thinks that SB should assign 1/2 to the probability that the coin landed heads?