OrphanWilde comments on Monty Hall Sleeping Beauty - Less Wrong

1 Post author: PhilGoetz 18 September 2015 09:18PM

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Comment author: OrphanWilde 22 September 2015 01:07:08PM 0 points [-]

Only one of those questions is asked in the problem proper. The other is the product of a poor rephrasing or somebody seeking the question to which their incorrect answer ceases to be incorrect.

Comment author: MrMind 23 September 2015 06:59:28AM 0 points [-]

I don't know / care to track the problem as it was originally formulated. If it's as you say so, then I wholeheartedly agree that the correct answer is 1/3.
It's just nice to be able to reason correctly about this kind of anthropic questions and to be aware that the answer changes (which is not a given in non Bayesian takes on probability).