Tiedemies2 comments on Beautiful Probability - Less Wrong

34 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 January 2008 07:19AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (109)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Tiedemies2 14 January 2008 12:55:36PM -1 points [-]

I am sorry that I am too lazy to read this thoroughly, but to me the original problem seems a mere illusion and a strawman. A priori, the two experiments are different, but who cares? The experiment with its stopping condition yields a distribution of results only if you have some assumed a priori distribution over the patient population. If you change the stopping condition without changing this distribution, you change the experiment and you get a different distribution for the result. This has nothing to do with evidential impact. Frequentists don't, as far as I can tell, claim anything like that.