DanArmak comments on What we could learn from the frequency of near-misses in the field of global risks (Happy Bassett-Bordne day!) - Less Wrong

8 Post author: turchin 28 October 2015 06:28PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (9)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: DanArmak 23 November 2015 03:30:50PM 1 point [-]

I would expect a very high proportion of near-misses to stay secret. You don't make yourself look good by telling the world you nearly accidentally triggered an x-risk event. There's a huge incentive to cover it up.

Comment author: turchin 23 November 2015 04:48:12PM 0 points [-]

That is true. I think we know only 1 from 10 near-misses in nuclear weapons field. Underreporting of near misses is well known problem in other domains