Constant2 comments on The Allais Paradox - Less Wrong
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Since I know myself, I know what I will do after midnight (pay to switch it to A*), and so I resign myself to doing it immediately (i.e., leaving the switch at A) so as to save either one cent or two, depending on what happens. I will do this even if I share Don's intuition about certainty. Why pay before midnight to switch it to B if I know that after midnight I will pay to switch it back to A*?
*[if the first die comes up 1 to 34]