Constant2 comments on The Allais Paradox - Less Wrong

19 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 19 January 2008 03:05AM

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Comment author: Constant2 19 January 2008 05:30:25AM 1 point [-]

Since I know myself, I know what I will do after midnight (pay to switch it to A*), and so I resign myself to doing it immediately (i.e., leaving the switch at A) so as to save either one cent or two, depending on what happens. I will do this even if I share Don's intuition about certainty. Why pay before midnight to switch it to B if I know that after midnight I will pay to switch it back to A*?

*[if the first die comes up 1 to 34]