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turchin comments on Global catastrophic risks connected with nuclear weapons and nuclear energy - Less Wrong

1 Post author: turchin 21 December 2015 12:20PM

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Comment author: turchin 05 January 2016 11:48:11AM 0 points [-]

I read about this correlation before. I can't now open your first link (give me access), but I remember that when I read it I thought that the correlation may be artificial because of arbitrary cutoff at 8.3. That is if we have complex random data we could search for different cutoffs until we find the one which will provide us a "correlation". But it is a random event.

Anyway, your point is true - we could use nukes to prevent some risks, including asteroid deflection, controlled volcano eruptions and EQ energy release. But it was out of the scope of this map, may be goof for another one.

Comment author: flx 05 January 2016 04:56:46PM 0 points [-]

Uh, sorry, I thought the image was public, it should be now.

Comment author: turchin 06 January 2016 12:27:22PM *  2 points [-]

If cutoff level is 8 than:

1970/07/31 17:08 -1.49 -72.56 8.0 Colombia

1971/01/10 07:17 -3.132 139.697 8.1 Papua, Indonesia

1974/10/03 14:21 -12.254 -77.524 8.1 78 near the coast of central Peru

1976/08/16 16:11 6.292 124.090 8.0 8000 Mindanao, Philippines

1977/06/22 12:08 -22.878 -175.900 8.1 Tonga region

1977/08/19 06:08 -11.085 118.464 8.3 100 south of Sumbawa, Indonesia

1979/12/12 07:59 1.598 -79.358 8.1 600 near the coast of Ecuador

1985/03/03 22:47 -33.135 -71.871 8.0 177 offshore Valparaiso, Chile

1985/09/19 13:17 18.190 -102.533 8.0 9500 Michoacan, Mexico

1986/05/07 22:47 51.520 -174.776 8.0 Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

1989/05/23 10:54 -52.341 160.568 8.1 Macquarie Island region

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/mag8/magnitude8_1900_date.php

So the gap seems to be artificial, but more research needed.