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Brillyant comments on Sports - Less Wrong

12 Post author: adamzerner 26 December 2015 07:54PM

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Comment author: Brillyant 28 December 2015 06:12:41PM 1 point [-]

I've also been disappointed to see that people heavily reach for players in the draft, effectively saying "I disagree with all of the experts".

This can be a good strategy. I've played in leagues where the winners have won largely because they chose players before the experts projected they should go.

Following the consensus will likely yield the highest average performance over a span of several seasons, but the experts get it wrong sometimes. If you can pick the overachievers in any given season, it can yield a championship.

Comment author: adamzerner 28 December 2015 06:16:56PM 0 points [-]

Good point.